Models
Validated · NY + TX
calibrated · no protected attr
Post-acute placement
0.78 AUROC
fair-ranking · monitor
Prolonged LOS ≥10d
0.75 AUROC
fair
In-hospital mortality
0.83 AUROC
fair
Census now
11
active patients
Anticipated discharges · 24h
4 / 7 by 48h
beds freeing — plan intake
Need coordination
8
≥1 anticipated resource need
Resource asks · 72h
14
line these up now
Resource demand vs capacity
capacity = configurable| Resource | Today | +1 day | +2 days | +3 days | 72h total | Today vs capacity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case Manager | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 / 8assumed cap/day |
| Rehab Coordinator | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 / 6assumed cap/day |
| Utilization-Review Nurse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 / 10assumed cap/day |
By patient — ranked by placement probability
| # | Patient | Exp LOS | Placement need | Risk | Anticipated resources · when to engage | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NY0216 4 West · Medicine |
4d day 4 · home ~1d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· now |
||
| 2 | NY0218 6 Tower · Ortho |
3d day 3 · home ~1d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· nowCaseDME / equipment· now |
||
| 3 | NY0219 ICU · Ortho |
3d day 3 · home ~1d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· nowCaseDME / equipment· now |
||
| 4 | NY0223 5 East · Ortho |
3d day 3 · home ~2d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· nowRehabPT/OT clearance· in 1dCaseDME / equipment· in 1d |
||
| 5 | NY0226 Telemetry · Ortho |
3d day 3 · home ~1d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· nowCaseDME / equipment· now |
||
| 6 | NY0220 Telemetry · Ortho |
3d day 2 · home ~2d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· in 1dCaseDME / equipment· in 1d |
||
| 7 | NY0217 5 East · Medicine |
6d day 3 · home ~4d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· in 2d |
||
| 8 | NY0224 6 Tower · Medicine |
4d day 1 · home ~5d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· in 3d |
Calibrated models (AUROC 0.75–0.86) · day-0 features only · resource routing is rule-derived · capacity is a placeholder · no PHI · full validation →